An Emerson College poll shows that former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden in four of the six key swing states in a possible confrontation between the two in the race for the White House.

The poll revealed that the former president leads in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania and the current president leads in Michigan. On the other hand, Wisconsin is one of the territories where they are tied:

State Poll Results 11.4.2023 by Veronica Silveri on Scribd

In this poll (which surveyed more than 4,300 voters in these states), Trump has 47% support, while Biden averages 44% support.

Percentage by state

- Arizona : of the 778 respondents, 46% expressed their support for former President Trump compared to 44% who indicated they supported Biden. 11% of citizens expressed feeling "undecided."

- Georgia: among the 780 voters, 49% indicated they supported Trump and 41% supported Biden. 10% of citizens expressed being undecided.

- Nevada : of the 770 surveyed, 47% support the former president and 44% Biden. 8 percent is at stake.

- Pennsylvania : 49% support Trump compared to 45% who support President Biden (816 participants).

- Michigan: it is the only one of the six states where Biden is ahead (with 45% support). On the other hand, 43% support Trump and 13% of voters are undecided (among 788 likely voters).

-Wisconsin: Trump and Biden are tied (both obtained 45% among the 819 voters). 10% expressed being undecided.

Recent polls give Trump victory

This poll comes to light at a time when most polls give victory to Donald Trump - some by up to four percentage points - in a possible match against Joe Biden in the 2024 presidential elections.

Real Clear Politics analyzed several polls and averaged the results (giving Trump the lead). One of the measurements - carried out by CNN - gave Trump 49% voter support, compared to 45% for Biden. The media assured that "support" for President Biden "is significantly weaker":

Support for Biden continues to decline

Only 25% of voters believe that Biden has "the stamina and acuity" to do the job of president effectively (compared to 53% who believe they say the same about Trump). Support for the current president is much lower in some groups where he was previously widely supported. Among them: those under 35 years of age (47% support Biden vs. 48% who support Trump). This is also the case with independent voters: 41% (Biden) vs. 45% (Trump).

Biden's approval rating is at its lowest point since he began his term (39% approve and 61% disapprove). His performance as a national leader is also down: "42% of Americans strongly disapprove of his performance, and only 14% strongly approve."