A poll conducted last Sunday after the announcement of Ron DeSantis' withdrawal from the electoral race predicts a resounding victory for Donald Trump in the New Hampshire Republican primary. The former president adds the votes of the followers of the governor of Florida, reaching 62% of voting intentions, compared to 35% of conservative voters who would opt for Nikki Haley.
Our new #insideradvantage poll of #NewHampshirePrimary is 1st conducted with @RonDeSantis not in race. It made a difference. @realDonaldTrump is trending up. We nailed Trump's number in #IowaCaucus. Here are the results https://t.co/cAayxhlJc6
— InsiderAdvantage Polling (@InsiderPolling) January 22, 2024
"A two-person race"
According to Insider Average Polling, the undecided will not be decisive this time, since they barely make up 3%. The results seem to agree with the former ambassador to the United Nations, who said during an event in Exeter that the electoral contest "sounds" like a "two-person race," according to CNN. "Do you hear that sound? That’s the sound of a two-person race!"
The poll indicates that the DeSantis supporters will follow the example of their so far favorite to massively support Trump. The latest polls placed the former president at around 50-55%, while the governor of Florida would have obtained between 5 and 10%. Before his exit, Trump's average in New Hampshire according to the latest polls would be 54.4% , while Haley's support would reach 37%, according to Real Clear Politics.
The advantage is even greater outside the Granite State. At this time, Trump, who nationally exceeds 66% of the voting intention of Republican followers, is 54.6 points ahead of Haley, who would obtain 11.6% of the votes. Of course, practically all of the surveys considered still included DeSantis in the race, which would reach 10.5%.
