'There are fires everywhere': Analyst Andrés Guilarte warns on 'Voz News' that Texas, other key states threaten Republican majority in Senate

The Republican Party faces an increasingly complicated outlook 22 days before the midterm elections, with unfavorable polls, competitive races even in traditionally Republican states and the risk of losing ground in the Senate. During an interview with Karina Yapor, anchor and executive director of "Voz News," political analyst and pollster Andrés Guilarte warned that the situation has been deteriorating for months and that the Trump administration is deploying its top figures to try to stem the losses. "The fact is that there hasn't been a substantial improvement in the average poll numbers in any of these states, at least since June," he noted, before summarizing the party's situation: "There are fires everywhere that need to be put out."

Among the main warning signs is the need to defend states like Texas, where a race that should be favorable to Republicans has become more competitive. Guilarte emphasized that President Donald Trump, the vice president and other members of the administration are participating in campaign events across the country — a mobilization he considers revealing of Republican concern. "When you see that party mobilization everywhere — both in terms of prominent figures and financially — that's when we see that they really realize the alarm bells are ringing," he explained.

According to the analyst, the economy is the main factor behind voter discontent. Gas and diesel prices are driving up prices at supermarkets and the overall cost of goods and services — a strain that affects various demographic groups, including Hispanics. "The economy is the economy. No matter how you look at it, it's the economy. Because the economy affects absolutely everything else," Guilarte stated. Although immigration is also a factor for some voters, he cautioned that the cost of living remains the central concern and that voters hold the administration responsible for the economic situation.

Guilarte also noted that Trump's foreign policy decisions could have electoral consequences, especially when they aim to alleviate the cost of fuel. Referring to the agreement with Vladimir Putin to facilitate the supply of diesel, he acknowledged the criticism it has generated even among Republicans and explained that the White House is seeking to demonstrate that it is taking action in the face of economic pressure. "This isn't primarily meant to change the country's overall perception, but at least it's so that those Republicans — especially in Texas — who are wondering whether they'll actually vote for the Republicans will see that the president is doing something," he said.

In the battle for the Senate, Michigan represents an opportunity for Republicans, but Texas has become a source of concern due to the potential consequences of a defeat. Guilarte explained that winning Michigan would allow them to take a seat away from the Democrats, while losing Texas would be a political and symbolic blow to the party. "The fact that it's this close — by four or three points — is cause for concern, and that's why Texas is currently a battleground," he warned. He also mentioned the races in Maine, where Republican Susan Collins is seeking to retain her seat, and in Alaska, where Dan Sullivan and Mary Peltola are facing off.

The race in Michigan between Mike Rogers and Abdul El-Sayed also reflects the Republicans' difficulties in capitalizing on the controversies surrounding their opponents. Guilarte attributed the Democrat's competitiveness to the national context, his status as a newcomer and a Republican campaign that, in his opinion, could have been more effective. "It seems to me that perhaps Mike Rogers' campaign in Michigan could be much better in how it makes these accusations against El-Sayed," he said. However, he noted that events capable of altering the race could still arise, as happened in 2016 with the release of Hillary Clinton's emails during the final stretch of the election.

You can watch the full interview by clicking on the video below.